Opportunities for businesses in a complex trade environment
InsightThe recent reintroduction of tariffs by the US Government has created significant challenges for Australian businesses engaged in international trade.
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The Section 232 steel and aluminum tariffs remain at 25 per cent to align with these new measures. Additionally, a 125 per cent tariff on Chinese goods was imposed on top of existing tariffs, including Section 301 tariffs and Most Favored Nation (MFN) rates, aiming to encourage China to negotiate trade terms with the United States. The US Government claims this will protect U.S. industries and reduce the trade deficit. Automotive parts compliant with the USMCA are exempt from these tariffs, while certain automotive parts will attract a 25 per cent duty rate plus MFN.
For Australian and New Zealand exporters, these tariffs bring challenges but also present an opportunity for innovation within the supply chain.
Alongside the universal tariff, the MFN rate remains applicable. For example, there is an average duty rate of 5 per cent on agricultural goods exported into the US. The suspension of the ‘de minimis’ trade exemption means packages valued under USD$800 are no longer duty-free when shipped to the US, primarily impacting e-commerce retailers. Companies dependent on Chinese manufacturing will face increased costs as China seeks to offset the financial impact of US tariffs, potentially leading to higher consumer prices and supply chain disruptions.
The broader impact on supply chains reliant on Chinese and other Asian manufacturing is significant. The US tariffs on Chinese imports will affect Australian exports of iron ore, coal, and copper, integral to Chinese manufacturing. This may result in ramifications for Australian commodity exports to China as US tariffs on Chinese imports indirectly impact Australian businesses.
In a recent addition, the President has issued an Executive Order directing the Department of Commerce to initiate a Section 232 investigation on critical minerals and rare earth elements. This investigation is set to begin immediately with an initial internal report due within 90 days. Agencies are required to provide comments within 15 days, and a final report is expected by late January 2026.
The President will then have 90 days to decide on the findings and whether to adjust imports, with a final decision due by April 25, 2026, and action required within 15 days, around May 10, 2026. This timeline extends over a year and could have significant implications for global trade dynamics, particularly for Australian and New Zealand exporters. The investigation could lead to new tariffs or trade restrictions on critical minerals, rare earth elements, and derivative products, potentially disrupting supply chains and increasing costs for exporters in these regions. Additionally, the focus on processed critical minerals and derivative products may impact industries reliant on these materials, such as micro-processors, electric vehicles, smart phones, batteries and manufacturing, further influencing trade patterns and economic stability in Australia and New Zealand.
Grant Thornton’s Global Trade and Transfer Pricing experts provide a full range of services to assist Australian and New Zealand clients in navigating the complexities of the tariffs introduced by the US Government as well as helping to identify potential opportunities that arise. We can help your business reduce the impact of increased costs and supply chain disruptions, while also identifying competitive opportunities and synergies for optimisation and compliance requirements.
Grant Thornton offers guidance on global trade, customs services, and transfer pricing, helping clients develop procurement strategies considering the impact of changing supply chain flows from a duty perspective. These services include:
The recent reintroduction of tariffs by the US Government has created significant challenges for Australian businesses engaged in international trade.
Recent discussions have been clouded by misinformation about how VAT systems operate, especially in the context of proposed reciprocal tariffs. This has led to some misconception that VAT systems create unfair trade barriers for US corporations.
US tariff changes are adding pressure on Australian businesses, with higher costs, supply chain disruptions, and new trade restrictions. With additional tariffs on imports from China and Hong Kong, businesses need to rethink pricing, sourcing, and operations to stay competitive.