New South Wales Budget spends on health and schools, with slower growth ahead
Client AlertThe NSW Budget 2026 focuses on health and education spending, with slower growth forecasts, rising debt and targeted foreign investor duty relief measures.
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By: Jessica Brass, David Montani
09 Apr 20265 min read
While no legislative changes have been announced yet, a number of proposals are being discussed in Parliament, with Treasury reportedly modelling various reform options.
Broadly, the existing landscape is as follows:
This combination of mechanisms has been in place in their current form since 1999 and are often considered together, as negative gearing is frequently part of a wealth-building strategy that relies on capital growth taxed at a discounted rate.
A range of proposals have been floated, most prominently by independent MP Allegra Spender and through the findings of the Senate Select Committee on the Operation of the CGT Discount.
Options discussed include:
While there is broad agreement that capital gains need not be taxed identically to labour income, there is increasing debate about whether the existing 50 per cent discount remains appropriate. It has also been posited that a partial adjustment could improve revenue outcomes without materially affecting investment behaviour, contributing to a wider conversation about long‑term fiscal sustainability.
Proposals in relation to negative gearing have also gained renewed attention, although the government has historically been more cautious in this area.
Ideas publicly discussed include:
These proposals are directed at reducing the perceived adverse consequences resulting from investor demand in residential property markets, particularly when negative gearing operates in tandem with the CGT discount.
The property and construction sectors have strongly cautioned against changes to the CGT discount and negative gearing rules. Industry‑commissioned modelling suggests that reducing or removing negative gearing or the CGT discount could reduce investment in new housing supply, lower dwelling commencements over the medium term and/or place upward pressure on rents, particularly in already tight rental markets.
This is in addition to broader economic consequences, such as a decrease in GDP and loss of jobs in the construction sector. These responses highlight the ongoing tension between tax reform objectives and broader housing supply challenges.
While the proposed changes are still in the consultation stage, we expect more clarity in the Federal Budget in May, especially since housing affordability remains such a key policy issue. In the meantime, taxpayers may wish to consider the following:
Grant Thornton can assist clients to model the impact of potential CGT and negative gearing changes, review existing investment and ownership structures, and assess transaction timing and exit strategies.
If you would like to discuss how these proposals may affect your circumstances, please contact your Grant Thornton adviser.
The NSW Budget 2026 focuses on health and education spending, with slower growth forecasts, rising debt and targeted foreign investor duty relief measures.
On Tuesday 23 June 2026, Treasurer David Janetzki handed down his second state budget alongside Premier David Crisafulli. Deficits are forecast throughout the forward estimates, with a surplus of $619m projected for 2029-30.
The Government has announced revisions to several tax measures in the Budget, affecting capital gains tax treatment for small businesses, a special carve-out for start-ups, and a conditional exclusion for discretionary testamentary trusts from the 30 per cent tax on trusts.