A DCF valuation is based on the generally accepted theory that the value of an asset depends on the future net cash flows discounted back to a present value at an appropriate discounted rate.
Discounted cash flow valuations are the most technically accurate method of valuing an asset or business. They are particularly suitable to valuing discrete assets with finite lives. However, they suffer from the practical impediment that few companies have prepared cash flow forecasts of sufficient reliability over the necessary time frame to apply a DCF.
They involve the calculation in current dollar terms of the present value of the future net cash flows which are forecast to be derived from the asset in question by discounting those cash flows at a discount rate which reflects both the “time value of money” and the specific investment risk. When the cash flows to be discounted are “ungeared”, or before deducting the cost of debt finance, the discount rate is referred to as the weighted average cost of capital or “WACC”.
The Discounted Cash Flow method is based on the principle that the value of any asset is the present value of the future cash flow stream from that asset. The risk associated with the future achievability of that cash flow is reflected in the discount rate that is used to convert the future cash flows to a present value.
In assessing the value of minority investor’s interest in a company, the DCF method can be used by assessing the future net cash flows of dividends paid to the investor, discounted back to a present value at an appropriate discounted rate.
However, in situations where we are valuing a minority interest in a profitable company which has not paid a dividend(s) in recent years, it may be assessed as “the present value of the eventual return such shares might offer to a prospective purchaser.”[1]
The valuation of the minority interest under a DCF methodology requires the following:
- an assessment of future maintainable profits;
- consideration of the factors influencing dividend policy;
- an assessment of the proportion of the profits that might be distributed; and
- an assessment of the length of time that can be expected to elapse before such a distribution is made.[2]
[1] Wayne Lonergan, The Valuation of Businesses, Shares and Other Equity, Page 143 – 144
[2] Wayne Lonergan, The Valuation of Businesses, Shares and Other Equity, Page 144